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Mostly Right: Fundamental data for prediction markets

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Overview

Access real-world data right on Kalshi and Polymarket.

Trade prediction markets with the actual real-world fundamental data in front of you. Mostly Right puts ground-truth data directly on Kalshi and Polymarket contract pages — the same fundamental data these markets settle on, right next to the odds. WHAT YOU GET TODAY • Live observations from the settlement station: temperature, dewpoint, humidity, wind — with the raw METAR text on hover. • A full-day timeline: observed temperatures so far, condition icons, and a NOW marker, aligned to the market's local settlement day. • Model forecasts side by side: GFS, HRRR, ECMWF, ICON, Météo-France, JMA and more, plus MOS guidance for US stations — each model's projected day high and an hour-by-hour temperature heatmap. • Switch models instantly and see which ones are running hot or cold against the observations. • Support for more markets coming soon. COVERAGE • Kalshi: daily high/low temperature markets for 19 US cities. • Polymarket: daily temperature markets for 40 international airports. • On a market we don't cover yet? Hit "Request data" and tell us what you trade — requests decide what goes live next. SOURCES Observations from NOAA/NWS aviation weather (METAR/ASOS) and the Iowa Environmental Mesonet archive. Forecasts via Open-Meteo and IEM MOS. Every number is sourced and timestamped, so you can judge the implied odds against reality without leaving the page. NO SETUP No account and no configuration — install, open a covered market, and the panel is there. °F/°C units, the forecast trend line, and a usage-data opt-out live in the panel's settings. You can also ask for email alerts on the markets you care about. FOR DEVELOPERS The same data powers the Mostly Right SDK on npm (@mostlyrightmd/weather). The extension is the live demo. Mostly Right is independent and not affiliated with Kalshi or Polymarket. Data is informational only and is not financial advice.

Details

  • Version
    0.0.3
  • Updated
    June 25, 2026
  • Offered by
    Mostly Right
  • Size
    243KiB
  • Languages
    English
  • Developer
    Mostly Right Inc.
    1111b South Governors Avenue suite 56114 Dover, DE 19904 US
    Email
    team@mostlyright.md
    Phone
    +1 571-701-4259
  • Trader
    This developer has identified itself as a trader per the definition from the European Union and committed to only offer products or services that comply with EU laws.

Privacy

Manage extensions and learn how they're being used in your organization

Mostly Right: Fundamental data for prediction markets has disclosed the following information regarding the collection and usage of your data. More detailed information can be found in the developer's privacy policy.

Mostly Right: Fundamental data for prediction markets handles the following:

Personally identifiable information
Location
User activity

This developer declares that your data is

  • Not being sold to third parties, outside of the approved use cases
  • Not being used or transferred for purposes that are unrelated to the item's core functionality
  • Not being used or transferred to determine creditworthiness or for lending purposes

Support

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