Evidence Deflator

Is this trader's record skill, or could it be luck? A verdict next to Hyperliquid wallets and vaults and Binance/OKX lead traders.

Leaderboards rank traders by profit. They don't tell you whether the record behind a name could be luck. Sort thousands of accounts by profit and someone is always on a streak. Evidence Deflator puts a verdict next to the trader you are looking at: • Hyperliquid wallets and vaults (app.hyperliquid.xyz, hypurrscan.io, hyperdash.info pages with an address) • Binance copy trading: lead-portfolio pages • OKX copy trading: lead-trader pages For each one it shows: • t, a measure of how strong the record is once you allow for its length (Student-t, small-sample corrected) • the bar it would need to clear given how many traders it was picked from (for example t ≥ 4.90 for the best of ~47,000 Hyperliquid accounts) • how many more months of record it would need, and warnings for what the number cannot see (no losing week, one week carrying the record, profit booked on a near-empty account) The toolbar popup checks any address or trader ID you paste. Right-click a selected address to open the full check. What we found with it: on Hyperliquid, Binance and OKX, none of the top-100 traders by profit clears the bar for having been picked from the board. The audits and the method are public at evidencedeflator.com. Privacy: records are read from each exchange's own public API. Nothing about the trader you look at, or about you, is sent to us. No analytics, no account. Open source (MIT): github.com/Beltran12138/evidence-deflator Not investment advice. A past record is not your future return after fees, latency and slippage.